Getting Ahead OF OSTEOARTHRITIS
Why do young people get it and what can we do about it?
SBR Project ID
#HM04
Date of project
2022–present
Location
United Kingdom
Type of project
Mixed Methods
Categories
This project is funded by
Osteoarthritis is a disease of the joints — most common in the knees, hips, hands, and back. It tends to be thought of as a condition of older age, and most research and clinical care reflects that assumption. But it can arrive much earlier than that. People in their twenties and thirties get it too.
Because the focus has been elsewhere, earlier-onset osteoarthritis is frequently undiagnosed, undertreated, and poorly understood. People wait nearly a decade for a diagnosis — years of pain and missed opportunity. This project sets out to change that.
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AIMS
What we want to know
Each question in this project builds on what the previous one reveals. None can be answered well without the others.
We have three main questions we aim to investigate:
How much osteoarthritis is there in young, active populations — and are we currently underestimating it?
Can we recognise the early signs of osteoarthritis – in blood, in imaging, in movement — to better understand who is at risk of developing it, before symptoms become a problem?
Which treatments work best for young adults with, or at risk of, osteoarthritis?

IMPORTANCE
Why it matters
For a long time, osteoarthritis was understood as a consequence of ageing — cartilage wears thin, bones become misshapen, and there is not much to be done. We now know that is wrong.
Osteoarthritis is not a single tissue failing. It is a disease that touches everything in a joint: bone, cartilage, synovium, ligaments, meniscus and more.
Research over the past two decades has shown that far more is happening beneath the surface than was previously understood — and that means there is room to intervene.
Almost all of that improved understanding has been built on research into older adults. But osteoarthritis occurs in young people, too. People whose symptoms begin in their 30s often wait nearly a decade for a diagnosis — years of missed opportunities for early treatment.
Prevention is more effective than cure.
Finding osteoarthritis early and identifying who is most at risk gives far more room to slow or stop its progression and help people stay active.

PROJECT
So we set up a study
Each question in this project requires a different approach. Some studies are already complete; others are underway or planned. What links them is a single thread: understanding osteoarthritis in younger people well enough to do something about it, at every stage from earliest risk to clinical care.
This cluster of work establishes how common early-onset osteoarthritis actually is — and how much is currently going unrecognised.
ADVANCE Cohort
The Armed Services Trauma and Rehabilitation Outcome (ADVANCE) study followed 1,145 men who served in Afghanistan — 579 who sustained combat injuries, matched to 566 who did not. The study collected physical, biological, and psychological data to understand the long-term consequences of serious injury.
ADVANCE provides a rare window into a young, physically active population at known risk of joint problems. It allows researchers to ask not just who develops osteoarthritis, but when, why, and what separates those who do from those who don’t — while they are still relatively young.
Health Records Analysis
To understand how common osteoarthritis actually is in younger people, the team analysed two large datasets in veteran and serving personnel: the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), which holds anonymised GP records for around 17.5 million patients across the UK, building on a specific project to explore veteran physical and mental health, and UK military health records.
Comparing veteran and non-veteran populations allows us to estimate how much of the osteoarthritis seen in military personnel reflects the demands of that role, and how much mirrors patterns in the wider population.
Reliable estimates of osteoarthritis prevalence in young active populations
For the first time, robust data on how common early-onset osteoarthritis is — and how much has been going undetected — in both military and general populations.
Early detection is where the best opportunities lie. If osteoarthritis can be identified before symptoms take hold — in blood, in tissue, in how the body moves — there is far more room to intervene. These studies look for those early signals.
Biomarker Reviews
Before running new studies, the team mapped what is already known: which biological signals — proteins, enzymes, inflammatory markers — appear in blood or other tissues before osteoarthritis becomes clinically obvious? Reviewing the international evidence base prevents duplication and identifies the gaps in knowledge. We found that blood markers, MRI markers and movement tests can all suggest ways to improve early recognition of osteoarthritis.
Biomarker Analysis
Using the ADVANCE study and some of the biomarkers identified in the earlier systematic reviews, studies were undertaken to see if any blood tests could be used to identify and predict osteoarthritis or better understand what is happening within the body during its development.
Proteomics & Lipidomics
Proteomics analyses thousands of proteins in a biological sample simultaneously. Lipidomics does the same for fats. Together, they can reveal molecular patterns in blood that may signal early joint damage — well before a person notices pain or imaging shows any visible change.
Samples from the ADVANCE cohort are being analysed to identify signatures that distinguish people who go on to develop osteoarthritis from those who don’t. The goal is markers specific enough to be genuinely useful in a clinical setting, not just scientifically interesting.
Growth Plate Imaging
Growth plates are areas of developing cartilage near the ends of long bones, present through adolescence and into early adulthood. There is an open question about whether high physical loads at a young age affect how joints develop — and whether this contributes to osteoarthritis risk later. This study will examine structural changes in growth plates in young military personnel, looking for early indicators that might otherwise go unnoticed for years.
Biological and physical markers that reliably predict osteoarthritis onset in younger adults
Early enough to intervene before symptoms become a problem — and specific enough to be usable in a clinical setting.
Most treatment evidence has been built on studies of people in their sixties and beyond. The same interventions may not work in the same way — or at the same stage — for someone in their thirties. These studies begin to fill that gap. The current evidence points to knowledge, exercise, and lifestyle interventions as the key building blocks — and the planned work builds directly on these foundations.
Interventional Studies
Trials testing specific interventions in younger adults, either with established osteoarthritis or at elevated risk. The aim is to build an evidence base that reflects this age group, not one borrowed from research conducted in people two or three decades older. Several interventions are planned, including knee braces, injections into the joint, and app-based holistic programmes.
Knowledge Transfer
Research findings only change things if they reach the people who can act on them — and that process is itself studied here. Using surveys, focus groups, and implementation science, this workstream investigates how international best-practice evidence can be consistently adopted in clinical and policy settings, particularly where early-onset osteoarthritis is most common.
The study focuses on what gets in the way of change and what makes adoption of interventions more likely — generating evidence about the implementation process, not just the clinical content.
The starting point is understanding which current best-practice evidence is most relevant, and then identifying the barriers and facilitators to putting it into practice for the working-age population in the UK.
Clinical guidance and policy recommendations designed for adoption
Informed by trial evidence and built around what actually gets implemented — not just what works in theory.
Earlier diagnosis, better treatment, and prevention of osteoarthritis in younger adults
Findings are relevant beyond the military to anyone in a physically demanding occupation or recovering from joint injury.
This cluster of work establishes how common early-onset osteoarthritis actually is — and how much is currently going unrecognised.
The Armed Services Trauma and Rehabilitation Outcome (ADVANCE) study followed 1,145 men who served in Afghanistan — 579 who sustained combat injuries, matched to 566 who did not. The study collected physical, biological, and psychological data to understand the long-term consequences of serious injury.
ADVANCE provides a rare window into a young, physically active population at known risk of joint problems. It allows researchers to ask not just who develops osteoarthritis, but when, why, and what separates those who do from those who don’t — while they are still relatively young.
To understand how common osteoarthritis actually is in younger people, the team analysed two large datasets in veteran and serving personnel: the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), which holds anonymised GP records for around 17.5 million patients across the UK, building on a specific project to explore veteran physical and mental health, and UK military health records.
Comparing veteran and non-veteran populations allows us to estimate how much of the osteoarthritis seen in military personnel reflects the demands of that role, and how much mirrors patterns in the wider population.
For the first time, robust data on how common early-onset osteoarthritis is — and how much has been going undetected — in both military and general populations.
Early detection is where the best opportunities lie. If osteoarthritis can be identified before symptoms take hold — in blood, in tissue, in how the body moves — there is far more room to intervene. These studies look for those early signals.
Before running new studies, the team mapped what is already known: which biological signals — proteins, enzymes, inflammatory markers — appear in blood or other tissues before osteoarthritis becomes clinically obvious? Reviewing the international evidence base prevents duplication and identifies the gaps in knowledge. We found that blood markers, MRI markers and movement tests can all suggest ways to improve early recognition of osteoarthritis.
Using the ADVANCE study and some of the biomarkers identified in the earlier systematic reviews, studies were undertaken to see if any blood tests could be used to identify and predict osteoarthritis or better understand what is happening within the body during its development.
Proteomics analyses thousands of proteins in a biological sample simultaneously. Lipidomics does the same for fats. Together, they can reveal molecular patterns in blood that may signal early joint damage — well before a person notices pain or imaging shows any visible change.
Samples from the ADVANCE cohort are being analysed to identify signatures that distinguish people who go on to develop osteoarthritis from those who don’t. The goal is markers specific enough to be genuinely useful in a clinical setting, not just scientifically interesting.
Growth plates are areas of developing cartilage near the ends of long bones, present through adolescence and into early adulthood. There is an open question about whether high physical loads at a young age affect how joints develop — and whether this contributes to osteoarthritis risk later. This study will examine structural changes in growth plates in young military personnel, looking for early indicators that might otherwise go unnoticed for years.
Military personnel who work aboard vessels are exposed to prolonged whole-body vibration — a physical stress whose effects on joint health are not well understood. This study uses biomechanical modelling to examine how vibration load travels through the body and what it may do to joints over time. The findings will be relevant beyond the military: vehicle operators, construction workers, and others exposed to sustained vibration may face comparable risks.
Early enough to intervene before symptoms become a problem — and specific enough to be usable in a clinical setting.
Most treatment evidence has been built on studies of people in their sixties and beyond. The same interventions may not work in the same way — or at the same stage — for someone in their thirties. These studies begin to fill that gap. The current evidence points to knowledge, exercise, and lifestyle interventions as the key building blocks — and the planned work builds directly on these foundations.
Trials testing specific interventions in younger adults, either with established osteoarthritis or at elevated risk. The aim is to build an evidence base that reflects this age group, not one borrowed from research conducted in people two or three decades older. Several interventions are planned, including knee braces, injections into the joint, and app-based holistic programmes.
Research findings only change things if they reach the people who can act on them — and that process is itself studied here. Using surveys, focus groups, and implementation science, this workstream investigates how international best-practice evidence can be consistently adopted in clinical and policy settings, particularly where early-onset osteoarthritis is most common.
The study focuses on what gets in the way of change and what makes adoption of interventions more likely — generating evidence about the implementation process, not just the clinical content. The starting point is understanding which current best-practice evidence is most relevant, and then identifying the barriers and facilitators to putting it into practice for the working-age population in the UK.
Informed by trial evidence and built around what actually gets implemented — not just what works in theory.
Earlier diagnosis, better treatment, and prevention of osteoarthritis in younger adults
Why are we studying military populations?
Military personnel face specific risk factors — sports and combat injury, physical demands of the role — that make early-onset osteoarthritis common. This makes them an important population to study.
They are also good group to study for several additional reasons: First, the changes occur more often, leading to a relatively larger number of cases to investigate and treat. Second, within the military, there tend to be fewer other medical problems, making the cause easier to identify. Their health is also better documented than in most comparable groups — detailed health records, known injury histories, and long follow-up data already in place. That combination is rare in research.
The military also has parallel health systems, which means new techniques and interventions can be trialled without adding pressure to NHS services. Those that are successful can then be widely adopted — this approach has already been demonstrated in surgery and emergency care.
The findings have direct relevance beyond the military to anyone in a physically demanding occupation or those who are recreationally active. All current osteoarthritis approaches have been developed in much older populations in their 60s or 70s, and thus may be less relevant to younger people. When we can better identify, prevent, and manage osteoarthritis within the military, these findings can be applied to all working-age and active people.

FAQ
Frequently asked questions
I thought osteoarthritis only happened in older people – surely it must be something else?
Research has shown that younger adults can develop osteoarthritis too. It is more likely in certain occupations — particularly physical ones like trades, military service, and sport — and more common after injury. Knowing this means people can get the right diagnosis, understand what to expect, and access better care sooner.
There isn’t anything that can be done, is there?
This is a persistent myth. There is no single medication for osteoarthritis, but there is a great deal that can make a difference. Understanding what makes your symptoms better or worse matters — and that is different for each person. Targeted joint strengthening, sleep improvement, staying active, physiotherapy, and pain relief where appropriate can all help. For some people, surgery may eventually be needed, but most people with osteoarthritis do not require joint replacement.
It hurts when I use my joints – should I rest them?
No. Activity is important — joints need movement to stay healthy. If you have not been active for a while, start gently and build up gradually. There will be good days and harder ones; learning your limits and slowly extending them is more useful than pushing through pain.

TIMELINE
The long journey
Project begins
ADVANCE cohort data collection and retrospective health records analysis underway. Systematic reviews of biomarker evidence started.
Early findings
End of initial phase. Early findings on blood markers and prevalence emerge.
Clinical guidance & new work streams
Clinical guidance developed. Proteomics and lipidomics analysis completed. Interventional study begins. Military-specific medical policy in development.
Specific risk factor studies
Investigation of vibration exposure on vessels and growth plate changes in younger personnel begins.
Project ends
Expected completion of this phase of the project.

RESULTS
What we have found so far
Several studies are now complete, and findings are beginning to emerge across all three research questions. Here is what we have found so far.
Question 1 How much is there?
Higher rates of OA in veterans than civilians
Far higher amounts of knee and hip osteoarthritis in veterans compared to equivalent-aged non-veterans.
Earlier age of onset in veterans
Veterans develop osteoarthritis at a younger age than non-veteran controls.
Higher rates in female veterans
Rates are relatively higher in female veterans compared to male veterans.
OA underrecognised in serving personnel
Recorded rates in those still serving are far lower than ADVANCE data and equivalent US military data. This suggests the condition is likely being missed, and recognition needs to improve.
The gap between how much disease exists and how much gets identified is part of what this work is trying to close.
Question 2 Who’s at risk?
2–4× increased risk after joint injury or amputation
Risk is highest in the first few years after injury — meaning early intervention is likely to have the greatest effect.
A shared disease pathway regardless of cause — with nuances
Blood tests look the same whether OA is post-traumatic, age-related, or occupational, suggesting a common underlying process. Within that, however, the way the disease affects individual joints varies, suggesting multiple pathways may also be at play.
Blood tests can identify who may have worse pain
No blood test can predict who will develop OA, but tests can indicate who is likely to experience worse pain — helping prioritise treatment.
Question 3 What works?
Interventional studies are in planning. Results will appear here as they emerge.

IMPACT
What’s happened
Here’s some of what we’ve published and contributed to. We’ll keep adding to this as the work develops.
Military Osteoarthritis Working Group
Osteoarthritis Best Practice Guidelines
Service and National support
A full list of the awards this research has won
- 2026Professor Nicola T Fear Early Career Researcher Award Centre for Evidence for the Armed Forces Community
- 2026Eric Bywaters Prize Royal Society of Medicine
- 2025Defence Rehabilitation Research Prize Ministry of Defence
- 2025World Congress Travel Support Award for Early Career Investigators Osteoarthritis Research Society International (OARSI)
- 2024The Consultant’s Prize Royal Army Medical Corps
Ask the doctor, Arthritis UK

FUTURE
Hopes for the future
Through this research, we hope to:
A clearer picture of the disease.
Better understanding of how osteoarthritis develops in younger people – who is at risk, when it starts, and what is happening inside the joint before symptoms appear.
Care that follows people from injury onwards.
Established pathways that track younger adults from the point of injury into the years beyond – so treatment isn’t a one-off event but a continuous thread.
Evidence that prevention works.
Proof that finding osteoarthritis early, and acting on it, can slow or stop joint disease before it limits what people can do.
A connected research community.
A network of researchers working on adjacent questions – so findings don’t stay siloed, and the field moves faster as a result.
Practical support for younger adults.
Education and self-management resources grounded in what this research actually shows – written for people in their thirties and forties, not borrowed from guidance designed for someone twice their age.

TEAM
Who are we?
LEAD INVESTIGATOR

Dr Oliver O’Sullivan
NIHR Academic Clinical Lecturer and Specialty Registrar, Rheumatology & Rehabilitation Medicine
University of Nottingham & UK Ministry of Defence
CO-INVESTIGATORS

CONTACT
Get involved
Results are emerging as the project develops — follow along as it unfolds.
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Join the conversation
Have your say
A few questions worth for you — share your thoughts in the discussion below.
What do you think of when you hear the word ‘osteoarthritis’?
Do you know anyone who’s been affected — and if so, what’s been hardest for them?
If you or someone close to you had osteoarthritis at 35, what would matter most to you?




















